Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.