Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
42.56% ( -0.05) | 26.44% ( -0.18) | 31% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.94% ( 0.79) | 53.06% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% ( 0.67) | 74.65% ( -0.66) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.31% ( 0.33) | 24.69% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( 0.46) | 59.23% ( -0.45) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.57) | 31.56% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.65) | 67.96% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |