Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stirling Albion | Draw | Annan Athletic |
40.8% ( 0.25) | 23.42% ( 0.09) | 35.78% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 63.49% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.83% ( -0.49) | 38.17% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.55% ( -0.53) | 60.44% ( 0.53) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( -0.1) | 19.12% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% ( -0.16) | 50.75% ( 0.16) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% ( -0.4) | 21.5% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.44% ( -0.61) | 54.56% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Stirling Albion | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |