Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
51.88% ( -2.44) | 22.62% ( 0.58) | 25.49% ( 1.87) |
Both teams to score 60.21% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.13% ( -0.82) | 39.87% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.77% ( -0.86) | 62.23% ( 0.86) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.51% ( -1.1) | 15.49% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.63% ( -2.09) | 44.37% ( 2.09) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( 1.04) | 28.76% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.4% ( 1.27) | 64.6% ( -1.27) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.88% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.41% Total : 25.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |