Scottish League One | Gameweek 30

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Galabank

Annan
3 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Smith (26'), Hunter (35'), Lussint (38')
(90+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Tidser (40'), Johnston (48')
Lyon (50'), Moore (87')
O'Ware (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Annan Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 1-1 Annan
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-1 Alloa
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Annan Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
51.22% ( 0.08)	21.95% ( -0.02)	26.84% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 64.04% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.59% (

0.07)

35.41% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.56% (

0.07)

57.44% (

-0.07)

Annan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88% (

0.05)

14.12% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.24% (

0.1)

41.77% (

-0.09)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

-0)

25.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

-0)

60.25% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Annan Athletic 51.22%

Kelty Hearts 26.84%

Draw 21.95%

Annan Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.22%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.84%