Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Stirling Albion | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
37.79% ( 0.12) | 23.71% ( 0.09) | 38.5% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 62.61% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.61% ( -0.42) | 39.39% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.27% ( -0.44) | 61.73% ( 0.44) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -0.13) | 21.04% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.16% ( -0.2) | 53.84% ( 0.2) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( -0.28) | 20.7% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% ( -0.45) | 53.3% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Stirling Albion | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 38.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |