Scottish League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
Dumbarton2 - 1Elgin
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Elgin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rangers U21s 7-0 Dumbarton
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dumbarton | 4 | 9 | 12 |
2 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Last Game: Elgin 3-1 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Albion Rovers | 4 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Elgin City | 4 | -2 | 3 |
9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
43.8% ( 0.05) | 26.61% ( -0) | 29.59% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.72% ( -0.01) | 54.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.33% ( -0.01) | 75.67% ( 0.01) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( 0.02) | 24.61% ( -0.02) |