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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Aberdeen logo

Dundee
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Murray (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Nisbet (15'), Keskinen (32')
Molloy (43'), Keskinen (51'), Mitov (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-0 Spartans
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Dundee 1-4 Aberdeen

Aberdeen have appeared unstoppable in the early parts of 2024-25, while the hosts have struggled in recent outings, suggesting this one will be a comfortable win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAberdeen
25.18% (0.277 0.28) 24.35% (0.143 0.14) 50.48% (-0.418 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.06% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (-0.365 -0.37)47.86% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (-0.338 -0.34)70.04% (0.339 0.34)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)33.28% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.040000000000003 0.04)69.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.306 -0.31)18.98% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.48% (-0.511 -0.51)50.52% (0.512 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 25.18%
    Aberdeen 50.47%
    Draw 24.34%
DundeeDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.35% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.18%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.095 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.32% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.47%

How you voted: Dundee vs Aberdeen

Dundee
19.4%
Draw
6.5%
Aberdeen
74.2%
31
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aberdeen
0-0
Dundee
Shinnie (39')
Shinnie (90+6')
Portales (3'), Docherty (4'), Costelloe (15'), McGhee (23')
Mar 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
1-0
Aberdeen
McCowan (66' pen.)
McCowan (90+6'), Main (90+3')

McGrath (83')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
1-1
Dundee
Miovski (31' pen.)
McGrath (35'), Jensen (78')
Ashcroft (55')
Dodgson (18'), Boateng (23'), Beck (90')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
1-0
Dundee
Ferguson (73' pen.)
Besuijen (30')

Mulligan (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Dundee
2-2
Aberdeen
McGhee (62'), Mullen (86')
Adam (79')
Ramsey (41'), McCrorie (81')
Gallagher (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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