Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
25.18% ( 0.28) | 24.35% ( 0.14) | 50.48% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.14% ( -0.37) | 47.86% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.96% ( -0.34) | 70.04% ( 0.34) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.72% ( 0.03) | 33.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.11% ( 0.04) | 69.89% ( -0.04) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.02% ( -0.31) | 18.98% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.48% ( -0.51) | 50.52% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.18% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |