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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Motherwell

Gueye (27', 81')
Heltne Nilsen (23'), Rubezic (64'), Gueye (71'), Besuijen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ebiye (88')
O'Donnell (23'), Zdravkovski (23'), Robinson (52'), Vale (67'), McGinn (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell

Aberdeen have started the season in superb form, and on home soil it would be a surprise if they were to falter here, but Motherwell themselves have also demonstrated that they are a capable outfit. A tight game is expected, but we think the Dons will just manage to take all three points over the Steelmen and make it five straight league wins to start the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
58.96% (0.696 0.7) 22.75% (-0.131 -0.13) 18.29% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.604 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.291 -0.29)49.06% (0.287 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.262 -0.26)71.13% (0.258 0.26)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (0.136 0.14)16.3% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (0.25 0.25)45.87% (-0.254 -0.25)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.824 -0.82)40.72% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.746 -0.75)77.3% (0.741 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 58.96%
    Motherwell 18.29%
    Draw 22.74%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.96%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.29%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Motherwell
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Aberdeen
1-0
Motherwell

McGinn (56')
Vale (56')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
0-1
Aberdeen

Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic77002212121
2Aberdeen7700156921
3RangersRangers7511124816
4Motherwell7412118313
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd7331107312
6St Mirren82241114-38
7Ross County8143814-67
8Dundee71331214-26
9Kilmarnock7133917-86
10Hibernian7124611-55
11St Johnstone8116819-114
12Hearts8026615-92


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