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Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Motherwell

Gueye (27', 81')
Heltne Nilsen (23'), Rubezic (64'), Gueye (71'), Besuijen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ebiye (88')
O'Donnell (23'), Zdravkovski (23'), Robinson (52'), Vale (67'), McGinn (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell

 Aberdeen have started the season in superb form, and on home soil it would be a surprise if they were to falter here, but Motherwell themselves have also demonstrated that they are a capable outfit. A tight game is expected, but we think the Dons will just manage to take all three points over the Steelmen and make it five straight league wins to start the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
58.96% (0.696 0.7) 22.75% (-0.131 -0.13) 18.29% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.604 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.291 -0.29)49.06% (0.287 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.262 -0.26)71.13% (0.258 0.26)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (0.136 0.14)16.3% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (0.25 0.25)45.87% (-0.254 -0.25)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.824 -0.82)40.72% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.746 -0.75)77.3% (0.741 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 58.96%
    Motherwell 18.29%
    Draw 22.74%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.96%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.29%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Motherwell
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Aberdeen
1-0
Motherwell
Gartenmann (60')
Gartenmann (14')

McGinn (56')
Vale (56')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
0-1
Aberdeen

Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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