Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Rangers |
31.9% ( 0.03) | 25.2% ( 0) | 42.9% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.48% ( 0.01) | 47.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.27% ( 0.01) | 69.73% ( -0.01) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( 0.02) | 28.17% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 0.03) | 63.86% ( -0.03) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% ( -0.02) | 55.48% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 18 |
2 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
3 | RangersRangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Motherwell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
6 | St Mirren | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Hibernian | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
10 | St Johnstone | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
12 | Hearts | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |