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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Hearts logo

Motherwell
0 - 3
Hearts


Aarons (37'), McKinstry (75'), McGinn (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shankland (17'), Forrest (50', 90')
Forrest (79'), Smith (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 0-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: RFS 0-2 Hearts
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts

Hearts are yet to fully be at their best in the Scottish Premiership this term, but Neilson has a strong squad at his disposal, and on the back of a confidence-boosting win away at Rigas, they should have what it takes to return to winning ways at Fir Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHearts
34.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.38% (-0.492 -0.49) 38.09% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 49.6% (1.497 1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04% (1.874 1.87)55.96% (-1.869 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (1.5 1.5)77.06% (-1.496 -1.5)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.94 0.94)30.66% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (1.096 1.1)66.9% (-1.092 -1.09)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (1.208 1.21)28.47% (-1.204 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (1.491 1.49)64.24% (-1.488 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 34.53%
    Hearts 38.09%
    Draw 27.38%
MotherwellDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.647 -0.65)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.182 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.156 0.16)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.091 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hearts

Motherwell
33.3%
Draw
4.2%
Hearts
62.5%
24
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Shields (23'), Lamie (66')
Watt (90+4')

Moore (48')
Moore (64')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Boyce (5' pen.), Kingsley (22')
Devlin (43'), Moore (75'), Baningime (83')

Ojala (11'), Grimshaw (18'), McGinley (90+2')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Hearts
1-1
Motherwell
Washington (49')
Dikamona (61'), Hickey (90+4')
Long (21')
Maguire (39'), Aarons (58'), O'Hara (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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