Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fir Park Stadium

Motherwell
0 - 3
Hearts

Aarons (37'), McKinstry (75'), McGinn (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shankland (17'), Forrest (50', 90')
Forrest (79'), Smith (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

Last Six:

Last Game: Motherwell 0-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Hearts	6	2	10
7	Motherwell	6	1	10
8	St Mirren	6	-2	9

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: RFS 0-2 Hearts
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Aberdeen	7	4	10
6	Hearts	6	2	10
7	Motherwell	6	1	10

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts

Hearts are yet to fully be at their best in the Scottish Premiership this term, but Neilson has a strong squad at his disposal, and on the back of a confidence-boosting win away at Rigas, they should have what it takes to return to winning ways at Fir Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
34.53% ( -0)	27.38% ( -0.49)	38.09% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.04% (

1.87)

55.96% (

-1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94% (

1.5)

77.06% (

-1.5)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

0.94)

30.66% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

1.1)

66.9% (

-1.09)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

1.21)

28.47% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

1.49)

64.24% (

-1.49)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 34.53%

Hearts 38.09%

Draw 27.38%

Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.09%