UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
0 - 4
Istanbul

Atkinson (58'), Humphrys (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ali Kaldirim (26'), Ndayishimiye (67'), Kingsley (75' og.), Ozcan (82')
Touba (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hearts and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Livingston 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Aberdeen	6	6	10
4	Hearts	6	2	10
5	Motherwell	6	1	10

We said: Hearts 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

Having been drawn in a difficult group, Hearts must take advantage of their home fixtures if they want to have a realistic chance of progression. However, they are probably facing Istanbul at the wrong time, and we feel that the visitors will prevail in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
41.68% ( 0.04)	23.52% ( -0)	34.79% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 62.88% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12% (

-0)

38.87% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.81%

61.19% (

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

0.02)

19.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

0.03)

50.6% (

-0.03)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

-0.02)

22.34% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17% (

-0.04)

55.82% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Hearts 41.68%

Istanbul Basaksehir 34.79%

Draw 23.52%

Hearts	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 34.79%