Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
38.33% | 28.92% | 32.75% |
Both teams to score 44.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.25% | 61.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.45% | 81.55% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% | 31.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.48% | 67.52% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% | 34.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% | 71.59% |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 12.66% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.03% Total : 38.32% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 11.45% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.19% Total : 32.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |