Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	UD Ibiza
44.93% ( -0.09)	27.87% ( 0.02)	27.2% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.07% (

-0.05)

59.92% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.82% (

-0.04)

80.18% (

0.03)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39% (

-0.07)

26.61% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16% (

-0.09)

61.83% (

0.09)

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.86% (

0.03)

38.14% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.1% (

0.03)

74.9% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Burgos 44.92%

UD Ibiza 27.2%

Draw 27.86%

Burgos	Draw	UD Ibiza
1-0 @ 13.43% 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.92%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 27.2%