Castellon

2 - 1

Cartagena

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 34.44%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 2-1 (6.63%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (13.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.