Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Deportivo La Coruna win it was 0-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.