Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.