Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Al Jazira Club had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Al Jazira Club win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.