Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 47.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Lugo
47.22% ( 0.03)	28.64% ( -0.07)	24.14% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 41.2% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.93% (

0.22)

64.07% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.76% (

0.16)

83.24% (

-0.16)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.12)

27.39% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

0.16)

62.86% (

-0.16)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.74% (

0.17)

43.26% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.49% (

0.14)

79.51% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 47.22%

Lugo 24.14%

Draw 28.63%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 15.34% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 47.22%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.63%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.02% Total : 24.14%