Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.51%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.64%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.