Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.