Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
30.74% | 24.84% | 44.42% |
Both teams to score 56.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% | 46.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% | 68.69% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% | 28.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% | 64.12% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% | 20.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% | 53.69% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 7.49% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |