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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Hellas Verona logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Leao (8')
Thiaw (24'), Musah (58'), Pioli (69+69'), Pulisic (76'), Florenzi (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Faraoni (42'), Bonazzoli (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Bologna
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Hellas Verona

 With precedent firmly on their side, Milan can bounce back from a tough week to post their fourth win from five Serie A matches this season. Verona may have overachieved in the early days of the 2023-24 campaign, but their limitations remain more or less the same as last year - and they have never before beaten Milan in a top-flight match at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
65.12% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28) 20.61% (0.106 0.11) 14.27% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)47.17% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-0.073 -0.07)69.4% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (-0.107 -0.11)13.7% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)40.93% (0.225 0.23)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.215 0.22)44.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.173 0.17)80.78% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 65.11%
    Hellas Verona 14.27%
    Draw 20.61%
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-0 @ 12.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.04% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 65.11%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.61%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.27%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

AC Milan
89.0%
Draw
6.1%
Hellas Verona
4.9%
82
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-1
Hellas Verona
Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Hernandez (89')
Faraoni (72')
Magnani (49'), Sulemana (60'), Cabal (62'), Depaoli (77')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hellas Verona
1-2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Hellas Verona
0-2
AC Milan

Magnani (26'), Bessa (90+3')
Krunic (27'), Dalot (50')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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