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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
5 - 1
AC Milan

Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

 Inter and Milan not only top the table together but have also scored the most goals in Serie A this season, with eight apiece. However, Saturday's contest should be much tighter, with the fear of derby defeat proving a major factor. As a result, scoring twice would surely be enough to secure maximum points, and such is the Nerazzurri's firepower they can do so and beat their Rossoneri rivals once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
47.42% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.82%
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)22.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 47.42%
    AC Milan 26.82%
    Draw 25.75%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
59.6%
Draw
20.2%
AC Milan
20.2%
99
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (74')
Barella (79'), Martinez (81')

Thiaw (56'), Tonali (79'), Tomori (81'), Krunic (81')
> Match Report
May 10, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-2
Inter Milan
Dzeko (8'), Mkhitaryan (11')
> Match Report
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (34')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Final
AC Milan
0-3
Inter Milan
Dimarco (10'), Dzeko (21'), Martinez (77')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-2
Inter Milan
Leao (28', 60'), Giroud (54')
Hernandez (9'), Giroud (32'), De Ketelaere (51'), Tonali (77'), Leao (90+4')
Brozovic (21'), Dzeko (67')
Dumfries (9'), Brozovic (39'), Inzaghi (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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