Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan5 - 1AC Milan
Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan
Inter and Milan not only top the table together but have also scored the most goals in Serie A this season, with eight apiece. However, Saturday's contest should be much tighter, with the fear of derby defeat proving a major factor. As a result, scoring twice would surely be enough to secure maximum points, and such is the Nerazzurri's firepower they can do so and beat their Rossoneri rivals once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
47.42% ( 0) | 25.76% ( 0) | 26.82% |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0) | 52.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0) | 74.1% ( 0) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0) | 22.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.53% ( -0) | 55.47% ( 0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( -0) | 34.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.91% ( -0) | 71.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 47.42%
AC Milan 26.82%
Draw 25.75%
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.82% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan
Inter Milan
59.6%Draw
20.2%AC Milan
20.2%99
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
May 10, 2023 8pm
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Form Guide
