Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
47.42% ( 0) | 25.76% ( 0) | 26.82% |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.58% ( -0) | 52.42% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% ( -0) | 74.1% ( 0) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( 0) | 22.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0) | 55.47% ( 0.01) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.62% ( -0) | 34.38% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.91% ( -0) | 71.09% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |