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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Milan logo

Bologna
0 - 2
AC Milan


Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Cesena
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Novara
Sunday, August 13 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan

Milan may take a while to gel following a summer of upheaval on and off the pitch, so a well-prepared Bologna side should restrict the Rossoneri to just one point. Though their past record in this fixture may not suggest so, the Emilians are generally tough to beat on home turf - however, they probably lack sufficient firepower to cause an opening-day upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawAC Milan
38.01% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 27.27% (-0.023 -0.02) 34.72% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (0.084000000000003 0.08)55.51% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (0.067999999999998 0.07)76.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.074999999999989 0.07)28.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.091999999999999 0.09)64.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)30.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.019000000000005 0.02)66.49% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 38.01%
    AC Milan 34.71%
    Draw 27.26%
BolognaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.71%

How you voted: Bologna vs AC Milan

Bologna
8.9%
Draw
16.1%
AC Milan
75.0%
112
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
1-1
AC Milan
Sansone (1')
Pobega (40')
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

Schouten (56')
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
0-0
Bologna
Dijks (41'), Orsolini (90+8')
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 20
Bologna
1-2
AC Milan
Poli (81')
Dijks (24'), Soriano (56')
Mihajlovic (55')
Rebic (26'), Kessie (55' pen.)
Rebic (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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