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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
0 - 1
AC Milan


Cuadrado (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 1-0 AC Milan

Juventus can keep the top-four race interesting until Serie A's final day, as they may be flaky on the road but are an entirely different proposition on Turin turf. Neither side are at the peak of their powers, so a classic is not on the cards - and Milan may be sent home pointless following a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
44.29% (0.83 0.83) 28.16% (0.154 0.15) 27.54% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 44.82% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.951 -0.95)60.76% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.723 -0.72)80.82% (0.718 0.72)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.012 -0.01)27.33% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-1.334 -1.33)38.32% (1.33 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92% (-1.304 -1.3)75.08% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 44.29%
    AC Milan 27.54%
    Draw 28.16%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.305 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus
59.8%
Draw
19.5%
AC Milan
20.7%
87
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')

Cuadrado (26')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus

Leao (12'), Messias (42')

Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 35
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 16
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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