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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
0 - 1
AC Milan


Cuadrado (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 1-0 AC Milan

Juventus can keep the top-four race interesting until Serie A's final day, as they may be flaky on the road but are an entirely different proposition on Turin turf. Neither side are at the peak of their powers, so a classic is not on the cards - and Milan may be sent home pointless following a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
44.29% (0.83 0.83) 28.16% (0.154 0.15) 27.54% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 44.82% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.951 -0.95)60.76% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.723 -0.72)80.82% (0.718 0.72)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.012 -0.01)27.33% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-1.334 -1.33)38.32% (1.33 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92% (-1.304 -1.3)75.08% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 44.29%
    AC Milan 27.54%
    Draw 28.16%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.305 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus
Draw
AC Milan
Juventus
59.8%
Draw
19.5%
AC Milan
20.7%
87
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')

Cuadrado (26')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus

Leao (12'), Messias (42')

Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 35
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 16
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce36610202558-3328
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3639242764-3718


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