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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Milan logo

Atalanta
1 - 1
AC Milan

Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

AC Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Udinese
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 AC Milan

 Always an intriguing match-up, these two sides have clearly defined modes of play and a strongly-held identity. Though pragmatic, Milan's is generally more effective, and they can prolong their winning run by outscoring opponents who can barely buy a win on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
28.98% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 22.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 48.85% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)34.88% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)14.72% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.91% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 28.98%
    AC Milan 48.85%
    Draw 22.17%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.85%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
14.3%
Draw
16.8%
AC Milan
68.9%
161
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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