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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Milan logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
AC Milan

Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
47.87%25.11%27.02%
Both teams to score 53.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35%49.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33%71.67%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6%53.4%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69%69.31%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.87%
    AC Milan 27.02%
    Draw 25.11%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.87%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
41.6%
Draw
21.7%
AC Milan
36.6%
161
Head to Head
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 19
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
Dec 22, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Atalanta
5-0
AC Milan
Papu (10'), Pasalic (61'), Ilicic (63', 72'), Muriel (84')
Castagne (46'), de Roon (56')

Musacchio (37'), Suso (44'), Romagnoli (71'), Kessie (77')
Feb 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-3
AC Milan
Freuler (33')
de Roon (18')
Piatek (45', 61'), Calhanoglu (55')
Suso (27'), Rodriguez (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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