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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 5pm UK
San Siro
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Atalanta

Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Atalanta BC

 Though it ultimately finished 3-2 to Milan in October's reverse fixture - after Atalanta pulled two late goals back to give the scoreline a hint of respectability - this time around, the high stakes could make it a much tighter affair. Indeed, even a single strike could decide the destiny of the points, and the sense of self-belief forged by recent comebacks can help the Rossoneri edge out La Dea and inch closer to the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
46.74% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09) 25.74% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 27.52% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)51.91% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.66% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)22.19% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)55.6% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (0.053999999999988 0.05)33.55% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (0.059000000000001 0.06)70.19% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 46.73%
    Atalanta BC 27.52%
    Draw 25.74%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.52%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan
74.5%
Draw
15.3%
Atalanta BC
10.2%
137
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2019 11.30am
Atalanta
5-0
AC Milan
Papu (10'), Pasalic (61'), Ilicic (63', 72'), Muriel (84')
Castagne (46'), de Roon (56')

Musacchio (37'), Suso (44'), Romagnoli (71'), Kessie (77')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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