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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Empoli logo

Atalanta
0 - 1
Empoli


Freuler (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Empoli

With Atalanta's ability to capitalise on home advantage still questionable, and their visitors having gone so long without away success, it may not be a fluent affair in front of some disgruntled Bergamaschi fans. However, the hosts' need for the points is far greater, and they can edge out Empoli due to the options available to Gasperini from the bench if the outcome remains undecided in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
68.41% (1.415 1.42) 16.87% (-0.536 -0.54) 14.71% (-0.876 -0.88)
Both teams to score 62.68% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63% (0.77500000000001 0.78)28.37% (-0.773 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.79% (0.95099999999999 0.95)49.2% (-0.949 -0.95)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (0.48699999999999 0.49)7.61% (-0.485 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (1.237 1.24)27.22% (-1.235 -1.24)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.524 -0.52)32.15% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.595 -0.59)68.63% (0.598 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.41%
    Empoli 14.71%
    Draw 16.87%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 5.09% (0.187 0.19)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.89% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.157 0.16)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.17 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.49% (0.069 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 68.41%
1-1 @ 7.15% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.87%
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
84.2%
Draw
14.5%
Empoli
1.3%
76
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli

Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
Nov 25, 2018 2pm
Empoli
3-2
Atalanta
La Gumina (42'), Masiello (77' og.), Silvestre (90')
Veseli (24'), Maietta (67')
Freuler (33'), Hateboer (40')
Masiello (38'), Gosens (69'), Ilicic (84')
Ilicic (84')
May 21, 2017 2pm
Dec 20, 2016 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
Kessie (74'), D'Alessandro (94')
Kurtic (38'), Gomez (53'), D'Alessandro (95')
Mchedlidze (51')
Buchel (17'), Marilungo (22'), Diousse (82'), Skorupski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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