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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta logo

Lecce
2 - 1
Atalanta

FT(HT: 2-1)
Zapata (40')
Ruggeri (76'), Koopmeiners (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Atalanta BC

Lecce have been in poor form of late and need to start picking up wins if they are to avoid being relegated to Serie B after just a season in Italy's top flight. Atalanta have a stunning away record and have only lost to title rivals so far this season, meaning it is hard to see anything other than an away win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
21.27% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.79% (-0.099 -0.1) 53.95% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.2% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (0.317 0.32)53.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (0.269 0.27)74.89% (-0.268 -0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.126 0.13)39.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39% (0.114 0.11)76.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.18299999999999 0.18)19.73% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (0.297 0.3)51.76% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 21.27%
    Atalanta BC 53.94%
    Draw 24.78%
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.27%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.62% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.28% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.94%

How you voted: Lecce vs Atalanta

Lecce
10.0%
Draw
7.2%
Atalanta BC
82.8%
180
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Bologna2291033527837
7Fiorentina21106535221336
8AC Milan219753223934
9Roma228683328530
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli224992129-821
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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