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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Roma logo

Bologna
2 - 2
Roma

Dallinga (61'), Ferguson (65' pen.)
Miranda (32'), Holm (70'), Dallinga (77'), Lucumi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Saelemaekers (58'), Dovbyk (90+8' pen.)
Mancini (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-3 Hellas Verona
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Lazio
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-1 Roma

This clash will put Roma's newfound resilience to the test, as Bologna are usually tough to beat at the Dall'Ara. The hosts have a five-point lead over their capital-city counterparts - with two games in hand - and they can preserve that healthy advantage with a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawRoma
47.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 27.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 25.84% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)58.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)78.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.73% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.31% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.019000000000002 0.02)75.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 47.04%
    Roma 25.84%
    Draw 27.12%
BolognaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 47.04%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 25.84%

How you voted: Bologna vs Roma

Bologna
42.2%
Draw
32.1%
Roma
25.7%
109
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Roma
2-3
Bologna
El Shaarawy (63', 82')
Mancini (87'), El Shaarawy (90+7')
Castro (25'), Orsolini (66'), Karlsson (77')
De Silvestri (45'), Miranda (68'), Karlsson (87')
Apr 22, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Roma
1-3
Bologna
Azmoun (55')
Paredes (6'), Angelino (13'), Pellegrini (33'), El Shaarawy (40'), Freuler (63')
El Azzouzi (14'), Zirkzee (45'), Saelemaekers (65')
Zirkzee (6'), Llorente (63')
Dec 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-0
Roma
Moro (37'), Kristensen (49' og.)
Saelemaekers (9'), Beukema (33'), Ferguson (45+1'), Freuler (66')

Llorente (9'), Pellegrini (36'), Paredes (66'), Bove (72')
May 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Bologna
0-0
Roma
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
1-0
Bologna
Pellegrini (6' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli24174339172255
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta24155454262850
4Lazio24143745321345
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7AC Milan23108535241138
8Bologna2391133527838
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2461082528-328
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2466122639-1324
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2472152653-2723
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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