Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Torino had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Torino |
50.99% ( -0.75) | 24.37% ( 0.05) | 24.64% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 53.46% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% ( 0.42) | 48.39% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% ( 0.38) | 70.53% ( -0.38) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.02% ( -0.13) | 18.98% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.48% ( -0.22) | 50.52% ( 0.22) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( 0.84) | 34.02% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.3% ( 0.89) | 70.7% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.99% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |