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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Roma
2 - 3
Bologna

El Shaarawy (63', 82')
Mancini (87'), El Shaarawy (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castro (25'), Orsolini (66'), Karlsson (77')
De Silvestri (45'), Miranda (68'), Karlsson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Roma
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monaco
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Roma 0-0 Bologna

Both averaging just over one goal per game, two teams searching for rhythm could play out a gritty stalemate at the Olimpico, further frustrating the home fans. Roma still seem far from united, while Bologna often fail to convert enough chances to turn one point into three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawBologna
46.42% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 26.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 27.07% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.07% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (0.063000000000002 0.06)55.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)76.41% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.74% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (0.067999999999998 0.07)35.66% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.07 0.07)72.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 46.42%
    Bologna 27.07%
    Draw 26.51%
RomaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Roma vs Bologna

Roma
47.6%
Draw
34.1%
Bologna
18.3%
82
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Roma
1-3
Bologna
Azmoun (55')
Paredes (6'), Angelino (13'), Pellegrini (33'), El Shaarawy (40'), Freuler (63')
El Azzouzi (14'), Zirkzee (45'), Saelemaekers (65')
Zirkzee (6'), Llorente (63')
Dec 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-0
Roma
Moro (37'), Kristensen (49' og.)
Saelemaekers (9'), Beukema (33'), Ferguson (45+1'), Freuler (66')

Llorente (9'), Pellegrini (36'), Paredes (66'), Bove (72')
May 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Bologna
0-0
Roma
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
1-0
Bologna
Pellegrini (6' pen.)
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Roma
0-0
Bologna
Medel (41')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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