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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Roma
1 - 3
Bologna

Azmoun (55')
Paredes (6'), Angelino (13'), Pellegrini (33'), El Shaarawy (40'), Freuler (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
El Azzouzi (14'), Zirkzee (45'), Saelemaekers (65')
Zirkzee (6'), Llorente (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Bologna

All competitions
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Monza
Saturday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Bologna

 Roma have had less chance to rest and recover, but they have recently shown an ability to grind out results rather than simply playing on the front foot under Daniele De Rossi. Bologna (seven) are one of only two teams to have scored more goals in second-half stoppage time than the Giallorossi (five) in Serie A this season, so this contest could go right to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawBologna
43.09% (0.95 0.95) 26.36% (0.099 0.1) 30.54% (-1.052 -1.05)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.766 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.779 -0.78)52.92% (0.777 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.668 -0.67)74.53% (0.667 0.67)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.13 0.13)24.37% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.186 0.19)58.77% (-0.185 -0.19)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-1.132 -1.13)31.81% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-1.316 -1.32)68.25% (1.316 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Roma 43.08%
    Bologna 30.55%
    Draw 26.36%
RomaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.292 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.235 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Bologna

Roma
75.1%
Draw
16.0%
Bologna
8.8%
181
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-0
Roma
Moro (37'), Kristensen (49' og.)
Saelemaekers (9'), Beukema (33'), Ferguson (45+1'), Freuler (66')

Llorente (9'), Pellegrini (36'), Paredes (66'), Bove (72')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Bologna
0-0
Roma
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
1-0
Bologna
Pellegrini (6' pen.)
> Preview
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Roma
0-0
Bologna
Medel (41')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bologna
1-0
Roma
Svanberg (35')
Soriano (38'), Skorupski (88'), Sansone (90+2')

Abraham (45+1'), Perez (59'), Zaniolo (72'), Mourinho (81'), Karsdorp (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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