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Serie A
Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Lecce logo

Bologna
1 - 0
Lecce

Orsolini (85')
Urbanski (66'), Ndoye (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pelmard (71'), Gaspar (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-0 Lecce

 Finally, the Dall'Ara faithful will be treated to a home victory, as Bologna must surely put away a Lecce side lacking punch and prone to conceding plenty of goals. That combination means that the Salentini are facing a long season of struggle, even if they do have some talented individuals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawLecce
61.63% (-0.325 -0.33) 22.94% (0.392 0.39) 15.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-1.214 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (-1.564 -1.56)54.2% (1.562 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (-1.324 -1.32)75.6% (1.321 1.32)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.667 -0.67)17.19% (0.665 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-1.184 -1.18)47.45% (1.182 1.18)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.58% (-1.035 -1.04)47.42% (1.032 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.2% (-0.783 -0.78)82.8% (0.78100000000001 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 61.63%
    Lecce 15.43%
    Draw 22.93%
BolognaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 14.35% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 12.63% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61.63%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.486 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.193 0.19)
1-2 @ 4% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.43%

How you voted: Bologna vs Lecce

Bologna
83.5%
Draw
12.7%
Lecce
3.8%
79
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Bologna
4-0
Lecce
Beukema (5'), Orsolini (27', 49'), Odgaard (82')
Calafiori (34')

D'Aversa (35'), Almqvist (41'), Oudin (74')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Lecce
1-1
Bologna
Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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