Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
32.45% ( -0.25) | 29.71% ( 0.03) | 37.84% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 42.67% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.64% ( -0.13) | 64.36% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.56% ( -0.09) | 83.44% ( 0.09) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.52% ( -0.26) | 36.48% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.73% ( -0.26) | 73.26% ( 0.26) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( 0.07) | 32.83% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.61% ( 0.08) | 69.39% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 32.45% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |