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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Napoli logo

Como
2 - 1
Napoli

Diao (77')
Paz (24'), Fabregas i Soler (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raspadori (17')
Di Lorenzo (68'), McTominay (83'), Simeone (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Como and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Como
Sunday, February 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-2 Napoli

Napoli could come close to drawing four league games in a row for the first time since 2013, but another late twist may go in their favour this week. While Como pose plenty of threat, they are still vulnerable at the back - and their opponents' will to win is sky-high under Antonio Conte. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawNapoli
22.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 52.43% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)53.18% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)74.74% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)38.62% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.044 0.04)75.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Como 22.5%
    Napoli 52.43%
    Draw 25.06%
ComoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.5%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 52.43%

How you voted: Como vs Napoli

Como
10.5%
Draw
13.3%
Napoli
76.2%
105
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Napoli
3-1
Como
McTominay (1'), Lukaku (53' pen.), Neres (86')
Espeto (59'), Conte (60')
Espeto (43')
Buongiorno (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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