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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Napoli logo

Como
2 - 1
Napoli

Diao (77')
Paz (24'), Fabregas i Soler (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raspadori (17')
Di Lorenzo (68'), McTominay (83'), Simeone (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Como and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Como
Sunday, February 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-2 Napoli

Napoli could come close to drawing four league games in a row for the first time since 2013, but another late twist may go in their favour this week. While Como pose plenty of threat, they are still vulnerable at the back - and their opponents' will to win is sky-high under Antonio Conte. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawNapoli
22.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 52.43% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)53.18% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)74.74% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)38.62% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.044 0.04)75.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Como 22.5%
    Napoli 52.43%
    Draw 25.06%
ComoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.5%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 52.43%

How you voted: Como vs Napoli

Como
Draw
Napoli
Como
10.5%
Draw
13.3%
Napoli
76.2%
105
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Napoli
3-1
Como
McTominay (1'), Lukaku (53' pen.), Neres (86')
Espeto (59'), Conte (60')
Espeto (43')
Buongiorno (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus351615452322063
5Roma35189850321863
6Lazio35189858451363
7Bologna351614553381562
8Fiorentina351781053351859
9AC Milan351691055391657
10Como35129144548-345
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3589183651-1533
15Parma35614154054-1432
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Lecce3569202457-3327
18VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
19Empoli35413182755-2825
20Monza3529242563-3815


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