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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 1
Como

McTominay (1'), Lukaku (53' pen.), Neres (86')
Espeto (59'), Conte (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Espeto (43')
Buongiorno (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Monza
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 3-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-1 Como

While there is no doubt that Como are capable of causing Napoli some problems, the hosts have toughened up their defence under new management and will be difficult to break down. As the visitors have conceded the most goals during the final 15 minutes and stoppage time in Serie A so far (five) and Napoli have scored four during that period, it may be a late winner that seals the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawComo
71.44% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06) 17.72% (0.029 0.03) 10.84% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)42.77% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)65.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)10.65% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)34.51% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.33% (0.037000000000006 0.04)47.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.01% (0.026 0.03)82.98% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 71.44%
    Como 10.84%
    Draw 17.72%
NapoliDrawComo
2-0 @ 12.73%
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.44%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 10.84%

How you voted: Napoli vs Como

Napoli
89.9%
Draw
9.0%
Como
1.1%
189
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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