Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 1Juventus
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Napoli 1-0 Juventus
Such has been their resilience and will-to-win under ex-Juve man Antonio Conte, Napoli can finally end the Bianconeri's Serie A unbeaten streak. Juventus boast plenty of talent across the final third, but they often fail to fire, while their hosts are generally rock-solid at the back. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
48.89% ( -1.91) | 25.76% ( 0.47) | 25.35% ( 1.44) |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
