Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 2Napoli
We said: Lazio 2-1 Napoli
Expect a late twist, as these teams have earned the most points from goals scored after the 75th minute so far this season. As their visitors' new bogey team, Lazio might make it three from three, ending Napoli's nine-game unbeaten streak and denting Antonio Conte's title dreams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
36.2% ( 0.18) | 26.63% ( 0.07) | 37.16% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.12% ( -0.27) | 52.87% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( -0.23) | 74.48% ( 0.23) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( -0.02) | 28.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.23% ( -0.03) | 63.77% ( 0.02) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.28) | 27.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.95% ( -0.35) | 63.04% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 36.2%
Napoli 37.16%
Draw 26.63%
| Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.16% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli
Lazio
43.7%Draw
21.5%Napoli
34.8%135
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Jan 28, 2024 5pm
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
