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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Napoli

Retegui (16'), Lookman (55')
Djimsiti (64'), Ruggeri (66'), Scalvini (76'), Hien (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Politano (27'), McTominay (40'), Lukaku (78')
Neres (42'), Conte (74'), McTominay (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Napoli

Chasers Atalanta excel at home, while Serie A leaders Napoli are a force to be reckoned with on the road. Therefore, an intense contest between two of Italy's most respected coaches could end with the spoils shared, perhaps handing an advantage to Inter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
44.7% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.94% (-0.123 -0.12) 29.35% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (0.551 0.55)51.74% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.474 0.47)73.51% (-0.474 -0.47)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.23800000000001 0.24)23.07% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.349 0.35)56.91% (-0.349 -0.35)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.375 0.38)32.07% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.424 0.42)68.54% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 44.7%
    Napoli 29.36%
    Draw 25.94%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
Draw
Napoli
Atalanta BC
30.2%
Draw
39.6%
Napoli
30.2%
149
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce36610202558-3328
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3639242764-3718


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