Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Napoli |
42.34% (![]() | 27.04% (![]() | 30.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.45% (![]() | 55.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.27% (![]() | 76.72% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% (![]() | 25.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% (![]() | 60.93% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% (![]() | 33.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% (![]() | 69.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 11.59% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.81% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |