We said: Roma 1-1 Napoli
Roma are far tougher to beat at home than away, so they could stall Napoli's winning run and keep their own momentum building. Shutting out Antonio Conte's side entirely may be too much to ask, but Claudio Ranieri's men have sufficient firepower to score at least once. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Napoli |
42.34% ( 0.11) | 27.04% ( 0.09) | 30.62% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( -0.41) | 55.55% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.27% ( -0.33) | 76.72% ( 0.33) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -0.13) | 25.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.06% ( -0.17) | 60.93% ( 0.17) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.36) | 33.12% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.39) | 69.72% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 42.33%
Napoli 30.62%
Draw 27.04%
| Roma | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.62% |
How you voted: Roma vs Napoli
Roma
23.9%Draw
17.6%Napoli
58.5%159
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 5pm
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
2-2
Roma
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Napoli
Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
