Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4 - 1Udinese
We said: Como 2-1 Udinese
Although Udinese are enjoying their best form since the early weeks of the season, there are clear signs that Como have adapted to life in the top flight. With extra quality recently added to his already talented squad, Cesc Fabregas can lead the home team to victory on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Udinese |
41.95% ( 0.4) | 27.44% ( 0.31) | 30.61% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.97% ( -1.35) | 57.03% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.08% ( -1.09) | 77.92% ( 1.09) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.41) | 26.82% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.89% ( -0.55) | 62.11% ( 0.55) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( -1.21) | 33.9% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.43% ( -1.33) | 70.57% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Como 41.95%
Udinese 30.61%
Draw 27.44%
| Como | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.61% |
How you voted: Como vs Udinese
Como
51.9%Draw
19.5%Udinese
28.6%133
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
