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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Udinese logo

Como
4 - 1
Udinese

Diao (5'), Espeto (44'), Bijol (78' og.), Paz (90')
Fabregas i Soler (41'), Goldaniga (51')
Goldaniga (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Payero (50')
Solet (59'), Ekkelenkamp (81'), Bijol (83')
Solet (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Como and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 1-2 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-0 Atalanta
Saturday, January 11 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Como 2-1 Udinese

Although Udinese are enjoying their best form since the early weeks of the season, there are clear signs that Como have adapted to life in the top flight. With extra quality recently added to his already talented squad, Cesc Fabregas can lead the home team to victory on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawUdinese
41.95% (0.396 0.4) 27.44% (0.305 0.31) 30.61% (-0.695 -0.7)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-1.164 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-1.351 -1.35)57.03% (1.354 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-1.089 -1.09)77.92% (1.093 1.09)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)26.82% (0.415 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.546 -0.55)62.11% (0.55 0.55)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (-1.209 -1.21)33.9% (1.213 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (-1.329 -1.33)70.57% (1.333 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Como 41.95%
    Udinese 30.61%
    Draw 27.44%
ComoDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.221 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 41.95%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.461 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Como vs Udinese

Como
51.9%
Draw
19.5%
Udinese
28.6%
133
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Udinese
1-0
Como
Brenner (43')
Bijol (68'), Zemura (90+1'), Zemura (90+9')

Fabregas i Soler (69'), Fabregas i Soler (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli23173338162254
2Inter Milan23156256223451
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Juventus241013141212043
5Fiorentina23126540231742
6Lazio2313374031942
7Bologna2291033527837
8AC Milan229853324935
9Roma238783429531
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa236892132-1126
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2457122840-1222
16Empoli2349102233-1121
17CagliariCagliari2356122438-1421
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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