Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-3 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
12.98% | 15.81% | 71.22% |
Both teams to score 61.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.84% | 27.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.3% | 47.7% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% | 33.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% | 70.21% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.23% | 6.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.98% | 25.02% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 3.65% 1-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.79% 2-0 @ 1.36% 3-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.38% Total : 12.98% | 1-1 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 2.27% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.81% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 8.08% 0-3 @ 7.4% 0-1 @ 6.12% 1-4 @ 5.44% 0-4 @ 4.98% 2-3 @ 4.41% 2-4 @ 2.97% 1-5 @ 2.93% 0-5 @ 2.68% 2-5 @ 1.6% 1-6 @ 1.31% 0-6 @ 1.2% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.79% Total : 71.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |