Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
