Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.62% | 23.41% | 49.97% |
Both teams to score 58.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% | 42.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% | 64.95% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% | 29.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% | 65.29% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.85% | 17.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.61% | 47.39% |
Score Analysis |
SPAL | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 6.67% 1-0 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.31% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |