Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
