Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Jan 3, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Lazio

Destro (58')
Destro (59'), Czyborra (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Immobile (15' pen.)
Patric (43'), Milinkovic-Savic (60'), Leiva (69'), Escalante (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Lazio
20.66%	22.34%	57%

Both teams to score 54.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.01%

43.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.63%

66.37%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77%

35.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01%

71.99%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79%

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.15%

43.85%

Score Analysis

Genoa 20.66%

Lazio 57%

Draw 22.33%

Genoa	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 5.59% 2-1 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.66%	1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.33%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.22% 0-3 @ 5.97% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.53% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57%