Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Genoa |
45.43% | 25.56% | 29.01% |
Both teams to score 53.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% | 50.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% | 72.29% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% | 22.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.48% | 55.52% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% | 31.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% | 68% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.42% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |